預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Defensa y Justicia v Platense

開賽時間: 2026-08-31 22:00 UTC

最終賽果: Defensa y Justicia 1–0 Platense

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

37 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Defensa y Justicia (主隊)

預測 37.04%2.70公平賠率
EV -2.60%
優勢 -0.987%
Kelly -1.59%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.63

博彩公司預測分布
36.19%37.05%37.02%38.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.302.482.502.6343.48%40.31%40.00%38.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Platense (客隊)

預測 30.49%3.28公平賠率
EV +3.07%
優勢 +0.907%
Kelly +1.29%
成長率 +0.040%

假設最高賠率為 3.38

博彩公司預測分布
28.36%30.45%30.45%32.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.853.063.053.3835.09%32.67%32.79%29.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 32.47%3.08公平賠率
EV -2.59%
優勢 -0.862%
Kelly -1.29%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.00

博彩公司預測分布
31.36%32.50%32.54%33.93%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.22%35.09%33.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Defensa y Justicia (主隊):37.04%;Platense (客隊):30.49%;和局:32.47%。 對於「Platense (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.28的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.38,對應+3.07%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (37 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV +3.07%E +0.907%K +1.29%G +0.040%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.29%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 21:30
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -0.897%E -0.276%K -0.399%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:40
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -0.897%E -0.276%K -0.399%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:35
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.60%E -0.987%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -2.73%E -0.855%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.90%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 21:40
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:40
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -9.41%E -3.37%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 21:54
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -5.18%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:45
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -5.18%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:45
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:54
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 21:40
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -14.08%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -14.08%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 21:40
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 21:45
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 21:55
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 21:55
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 21:55
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-31 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -10.66%E -3.64%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.06%E -3.63%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 21:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -2.59%E -0.862%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:50
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 21:40
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 21:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 21:40
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%1.1%2026-08-31 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%1.1%2026-08-31 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%1.1%2026-08-31 21:55
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%1.7%2026-08-31 21:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-08-31 21:40