Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.63
avec la cote maximale 3.38
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Defensa y Justicia (Local) : 37.04% ; Platense (Visiteur) : 30.49% ; Match nul : 32.47%. Pour Platense (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.28. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.38, soit une espérance positive de +3.07%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV +3.07%E +0.907%K +1.29%G +0.040% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.29%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -0.897%E -0.276%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -0.897%E -0.276%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.60%E -0.987%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -2.73%E -0.855%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.90%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -9.41%E -3.37%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -5.18%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -5.18%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -14.08%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-28 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -14.08%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -10.66%E -3.64%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.06%E -3.63%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-31 21:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -2.59%E -0.862%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |