Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Defensa y Justicia v Platense

Inizio: 2026-08-31 22:00 UTC

Finale: Defensa y Justicia 1–0 Platense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Defensa y Justicia (Casa)

Previsione 37.04%2.70quota equa
EV -2.60%
Vantaggio -0.987%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.19%37.05%37.02%38.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.482.502.6343.48%40.31%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Platense (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.49%3.28quota equa
EV +3.07%
Vantaggio +0.907%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescita +0.040%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.36%30.45%30.45%32.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.063.053.3835.09%32.67%32.79%29.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 32.47%3.08quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -0.862%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.36%32.50%32.54%33.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.22%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Defensa y Justicia (Casa): 37.04%; Platense (Trasferta): 30.49%; Pareggio: 32.47%. Per Platense (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.28. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.38, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.07%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV +3.07%E +0.907%K +1.29%G +0.040%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.29%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 21:30
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -0.897%E -0.276%K -0.399%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:40
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -0.897%E -0.276%K -0.399%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:35
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.60%E -0.987%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -2.73%E -0.855%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.90%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 21:40
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:40
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -9.41%E -3.37%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 21:54
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -5.18%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:45
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -5.18%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:45
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:54
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 21:40
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -14.08%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -14.08%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 21:40
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 21:45
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 21:55
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 21:55
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 21:55
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-31 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -10.66%E -3.64%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.06%E -3.63%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 21:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -2.59%E -0.862%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:50
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 21:40
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 21:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 21:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%1.1%2026-08-31 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%1.1%2026-08-31 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%1.1%2026-08-31 21:55
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%1.7%2026-08-31 21:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-08-31 21:40