语言:简体中文
Defensa y Justicia v Platense
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Defensa y Justicia (主队)
预测 37.04%2.70公平赔率
EV -2.60%
优势 -0.987%
Kelly -1.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.63
博彩公司预测分布
36.19%37.05%37.02%38.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.482.502.6343.48%40.31%40.00%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
Platense (客队)
预测 30.49%3.28公平赔率
EV +3.07%
优势 +0.907%
Kelly +1.29%
增长率 +0.040%
假设最高赔率为 3.38
博彩公司预测分布
28.36%30.45%30.45%32.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.063.053.3835.09%32.67%32.79%29.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 32.47%3.08公平赔率
EV -2.59%
优势 -0.862%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
31.36%32.50%32.54%33.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.22%35.09%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Defensa y Justicia (主队)：37.04%；Platense (客队)：30.49%；平局：32.47%。 对于“Platense (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.28。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.38，对应+3.07%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV +3.07%E +0.907%K +1.29%G +0.040% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.29%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -0.897%E -0.276%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -0.897%E -0.276%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.60%E -0.987%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -2.73%E -0.855%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.90%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -9.41%E -3.37%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -5.18%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -5.18%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -14.08%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-28 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -14.08%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -10.66%E -3.64%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.06%E -3.63%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-31 21:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -2.59%E -0.862%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |