Idioma:Español
Defensa y Justicia v Platense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Predicción 37.04%2.70momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.987%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.19%37.05%37.02%38.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.502.6343.48%40.31%40.00%38.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Platense (Visitante)
Predicción 30.49%3.28momio equitativo
EV +3.07%
Ventaja +0.907%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.040%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%30.45%30.45%32.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.063.053.3835.09%32.67%32.79%29.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.47%3.08momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.36%32.50%32.54%33.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.22%35.09%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Defensa y Justicia (Local): 37.04%; Platense (Visitante): 30.49%; Empate: 32.47%. Para Platense (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.28. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.07%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV +3.07%E +0.907%K +1.29%G +0.040% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.29%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.15%E +0.642%K +0.916%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -0.897%E -0.276%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -0.897%E -0.276%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.60%E -0.987%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -2.73%E -0.855%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.90%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -9.41%E -3.37%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -5.18%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -5.18%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -14.08%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-28 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -14.08%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -10.66%E -3.64%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.06%E -3.63%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-31 21:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -2.59%E -0.862%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |