StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Defensa y Justicia v Deportivo Riestra

Matchstart: 2026-07-29 20:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Defensa y Justicia 2–1 Deportivo Riestra

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Defensa y Justicia (Hemma)

Prognos 36.36%2.75rättvist odds
EV -1.10%
Fördel -0.404%
Kelly -0.638%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.72

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.28%36.58%36.35%44.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.502.502.7247.62%40.08%40.00%36.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Deportivo Riestra (Borta)

Prognos 29.19%3.43rättvist odds
EV +15.31%
Fördel +3.88%
Kelly +5.19%
Tillväxt +0.794%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.70%29.01%29.18%29.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.243.203.9533.33%30.84%31.25%25.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 34.45%2.90rättvist odds
EV +1.62%
Fördel +0.549%
Kelly +0.830%
Tillväxt +0.013%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.73%34.41%34.47%35.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.722.702.9540.00%36.82%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Defensa y Justicia (Hemma): 36.36%; Deportivo Riestra (Borta): 29.19%; Oavgjort: 34.45%. För Deportivo Riestra (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.43. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.95, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +15.31%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -23.64%E -11.26%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV +15.31%E +3.88%K +5.19%G +0.794%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV +1.62%E +0.549%K +0.830%G +0.013%6.8%2026-07-27 03:15
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -16.37%E -7.12%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +3.63%E +1.02%K +1.42%G +0.052%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -0.793%E -0.275%K -0.422%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 19:40
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.40%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.19%EV +3.05%E +0.863%K +1.20%G +0.037%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV -3.89%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 19:49
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV +0.712%E +0.206%K +0.291%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -1.83%E -0.641%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV +0.712%E +0.206%K +0.291%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -1.83%E -0.641%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 19:50
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.59%EV -1.10%E -0.404%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -1.04%E -0.307%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.85%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-29 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -1.10%E -0.404%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -1.04%E -0.307%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.34%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -1.10%E -0.404%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -1.04%E -0.307%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.34%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -15.64%E -6.74%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -15.64%E -6.74%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 19:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.10%E -7.50%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-29 19:50
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 19:50
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -3.64%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 19:49
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.00%EV -5.83%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -6.00%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -8.37%E -3.15%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 19:54
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 19:50
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 19:50
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -3.64%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 19:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 19:45
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 19:40
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 19:48
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 19:45
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 19:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 19:49
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.05%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-29 19:50
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 19:40
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-29 19:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-29 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-29 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -14.55%E -6.19%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-29 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 19:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.85%EV -12.01%E -4.96%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -9.40%E -3.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-29 19:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-29 19:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.29%EV -12.01%E -4.96%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.44%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-29 19:50
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-29 19:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%0.7%2026-07-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%0.7%2026-07-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%0.9%2026-07-29 19:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98%1.4%2026-07-29 19:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.0%2026-07-29 19:50