A Escola das Odds

Defensa y Justicia v Deportivo Riestra

2026-07-29 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Defensa y Justicia (Local)

Previsão 43.33%2.31odd justa
EV -3.82%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.28%43.24%43.33%44.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.122.152.2251.28%47.14%46.51%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Deportivo Riestra (Visitante)

Previsão 24.43%4.09odd justa
EV -4.71%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.93%24.54%24.39%25.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.353.733.753.9029.85%26.83%26.67%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.24%3.10odd justa
EV -3.92%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.49%32.22%32.27%32.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.862.882.9837.74%35.01%34.72%33.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.82%E -1.72%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.77%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 21:10
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.82%E -1.72%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.77%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 09:30
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.96%EV -4.25%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.41%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.63%EV -6.18%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:32
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 17:14
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -5.98%E -2.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.61%EV -7.79%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 01:29
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.74%EV -6.42%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 03:55
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.74%EV -6.42%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 03:55
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.37%EV -6.42%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.30%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 08:40
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 03:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 16:54
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.47%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 20:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 17:24
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 20:05
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 20:05
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 20:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 08:09
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 10:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 20:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -10.82%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 20:04
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.53%EV -9.88%E -4.75%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 03:55
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.53%EV -9.88%E -4.75%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 03:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 43.62%EV -10.75%E -5.22%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 03:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.30%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -13.27%E -3.74%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 13:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -16.93%E -4.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.62%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-17 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.55%EV -12.48%E -6.18%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.23%EV -11.31%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.22%EV -11.98%E -4.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-22 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.77%EV -14.22%E -7.18%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.28%EV -18.15%E -5.42%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.95%EV -14.56%E -5.49%K -8.82%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-25 13:20
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -15.51%E -7.96%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.62%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-23 20:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.54%2.64I 37.88%NM 32.53%16.5%2026-07-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 20:20