L’École des cotes

Defensa y Justicia v Deportivo Riestra

2026-07-29 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Defensa y Justicia (Local)

Prévision 43.33%2.31cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.28%43.24%43.33%44.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.122.152.2251.28%47.14%46.51%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.43%4.09cote équitable
EV -4.71%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.93%24.54%24.39%25.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.733.753.9029.85%26.83%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.24%3.10cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.49%32.22%32.27%32.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.862.882.9837.74%35.01%34.72%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.82%E -1.72%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.77%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 21:10
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.82%E -1.72%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.77%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 09:30
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.96%EV -4.25%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.41%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.63%EV -6.18%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:32
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 17:14
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -5.98%E -2.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.61%EV -7.79%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 01:29
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.74%EV -6.42%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 03:55
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.74%EV -6.42%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 03:55
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.37%EV -6.42%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.30%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 08:40
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 03:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 16:54
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.47%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 20:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 17:24
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 20:05
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 20:05
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 20:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 08:09
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 10:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 20:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -10.82%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 20:04
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.53%EV -9.88%E -4.75%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 03:55
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.53%EV -9.88%E -4.75%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 03:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 43.62%EV -10.75%E -5.22%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -9.60%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 03:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.30%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -13.27%E -3.74%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 13:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -16.93%E -4.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.62%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-17 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.55%EV -12.48%E -6.18%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.23%EV -11.31%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.22%EV -11.98%E -4.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-22 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.77%EV -14.22%E -7.18%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.28%EV -18.15%E -5.42%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.95%EV -14.56%E -5.49%K -8.82%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-25 13:20
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -15.51%E -7.96%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -12.04%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.62%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-23 20:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.54%2.64I 37.88%NM 32.53%16.5%2026-07-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 20:20