Langue:Français
Defensa y Justicia v Deportivo Riestra
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Prévision 36.36%2.75cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.638%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.28%36.58%36.35%44.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.502.502.7247.62%40.08%40.00%36.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.19%3.43cote équitable
EV +15.31%
Avantage +3.88%
Kelly +5.19%
Croissance +0.794%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.70%29.01%29.18%29.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.203.9533.33%30.84%31.25%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 34.45%2.90cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.549%
Kelly +0.830%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.73%34.41%34.47%35.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.702.9540.00%36.82%37.04%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Defensa y Justicia (Local) : 36.36% ; Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur) : 29.19% ; Match nul : 34.45%. Pour Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.43. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.95, soit une espérance positive de +15.31%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -23.64%E -11.26%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV +15.31%E +3.88%K +5.19%G +0.794% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV +1.62%E +0.549%K +0.830%G +0.013% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 03:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -16.37%E -7.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +3.63%E +1.02%K +1.42%G +0.052% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -0.793%E -0.275%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.40%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.19%EV +3.05%E +0.863%K +1.20%G +0.037% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV -3.89%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV +0.712%E +0.206%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -1.83%E -0.641%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV +0.712%E +0.206%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -1.83%E -0.641%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.59%EV -1.10%E -0.404%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -1.04%E -0.307%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.85%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -1.10%E -0.404%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -1.04%E -0.307%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.34%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -1.10%E -0.404%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -1.04%E -0.307%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.34%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -15.64%E -6.74%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -15.64%E -6.74%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.10%E -7.50%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -3.64%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.00%EV -5.83%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -6.00%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -8.37%E -3.15%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 19:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -3.64%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 19:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.05%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -14.55%E -6.19%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-29 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.85%EV -12.01%E -4.96%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -9.40%E -3.58%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-29 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.29%EV -12.01%E -4.96%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.44%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98% | 1.4% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |