Idioma:Español
Defensa y Justicia v Deportivo Riestra
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Predicción 36.36%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.638%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.28%36.58%36.35%44.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.502.502.7247.62%40.08%40.00%36.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Deportivo Riestra (Visitante)
Predicción 29.19%3.43momio equitativo
EV +15.31%
Ventaja +3.88%
Kelly +5.19%
Crecimiento +0.794%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.70%29.01%29.18%29.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.203.9533.33%30.84%31.25%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 34.45%2.90momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.549%
Kelly +0.830%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.73%34.41%34.47%35.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.722.702.9540.00%36.82%37.04%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Defensa y Justicia (Local): 36.36%; Deportivo Riestra (Visitante): 29.19%; Empate: 34.45%. Para Deportivo Riestra (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.43. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +15.31%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -23.64%E -11.26%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV +15.31%E +3.88%K +5.19%G +0.794% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV +1.62%E +0.549%K +0.830%G +0.013% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 03:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -16.37%E -7.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +3.63%E +1.02%K +1.42%G +0.052% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -0.793%E -0.275%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.40%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.19%EV +3.05%E +0.863%K +1.20%G +0.037% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV -3.89%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV +0.712%E +0.206%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -1.83%E -0.641%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV +0.712%E +0.206%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -1.83%E -0.641%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.59%EV -1.10%E -0.404%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -1.04%E -0.307%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.85%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -1.10%E -0.404%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -1.04%E -0.307%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.34%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -1.10%E -0.404%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -1.04%E -0.307%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.34%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -15.64%E -6.74%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -15.64%E -6.74%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.10%E -7.50%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -3.64%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.00%EV -5.83%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -6.00%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -8.37%E -3.15%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 19:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -3.64%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.46%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 19:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.05%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.28%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.73%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -14.55%E -6.19%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-29 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.85%EV -12.01%E -4.96%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -9.40%E -3.58%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-29 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.29%EV -12.01%E -4.96%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.44%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98% | 1.4% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |