La scuola delle quote

Defensa y Justicia v Deportivo Riestra

2026-07-29 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

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30 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Defensa y Justicia (Casa)

Previsione 43.29%2.31quota equa
EV -3.89%
Vantaggio -1.75%
Kelly -3.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.33%43.25%43.29%44.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.122.152.2251.28%47.07%46.51%45.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Deportivo Riestra (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.46%4.09quota equa
EV -4.59%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.93%24.54%24.47%25.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.733.753.9029.85%26.80%26.67%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.24%3.10quota equa
EV -3.91%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.49%32.22%32.24%32.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.862.882.9837.74%34.97%34.72%33.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.81%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.53%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 05:59
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.48%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.77%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 21:10
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.48%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.77%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 09:30
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -8.26%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 06:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 06:44
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%EV -5.63%E -2.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -7.52%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -7.78%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 05:57
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.74%EV -6.49%E -3.01%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.59%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 03:55
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.74%EV -6.49%E -3.01%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.59%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 03:55
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.37%EV -6.49%E -3.01%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.81%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.30%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 08:40
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.59%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 03:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 16:54
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.47%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.59%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 20:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 03:04
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 20:05
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.48%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 20:05
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.93%E -3.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 20:29
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.26%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 10:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.48%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 20:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -10.70%E -2.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 20:04
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.53%EV -9.96%E -4.79%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.26%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 03:55
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.53%EV -9.96%E -4.79%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.26%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 03:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 43.62%EV -10.82%E -5.25%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -9.48%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 03:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.30%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -13.15%E -3.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 13:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -16.82%E -4.95%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-17 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.55%EV -12.55%E -6.21%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.23%EV -11.19%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.22%EV -11.97%E -4.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-22 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.77%EV -14.28%E -7.21%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.28%EV -18.04%E -5.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.95%EV -14.55%E -5.49%K -8.82%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-25 13:20
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -15.58%E -7.99%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -11.93%E -3.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-23 20:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.54%2.64I 37.88%NM 32.53%16.5%2026-07-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 20:20