Language:English
CA Tigre BA v River Plate
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CA Tigre BA (Local)
Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV +3.40%
Edge +0.913%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.79%27.77%28.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.303.7332.26%30.03%30.30%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
River Plate (Visit)
Prediction 39.09%2.56fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.11%39.06%41.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.332.5045.45%42.57%42.92%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.19%3.01fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.709%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.65%33.10%33.17%33.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.812.802.9538.02%35.56%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Tigre BA (Local): 27.72%; River Plate (Visit): 39.09%; Draw: 33.19%. For CA Tigre BA (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV +3.40%E +0.913%K +1.25%G +0.042% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -10.88%E -4.77%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.59%EV +0.078%E +0.022%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -5.02%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.92%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV -1.31%E -0.368%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.35%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.05%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -6.85%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.70%EV -5.80%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 19:53 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -2.09%E -0.709%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -2.09%E -0.709%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 19:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.01%E -6.37%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.76%EV -10.73%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.38%EV -11.27%E -4.96%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -9.72%E -3.58%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.71%E -4.83%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 19:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.05%E -4.55%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -12.83%E -5.75%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -12.83%E -5.75%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -14.01%E -6.37%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
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