StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

CA Tigre BA v River Plate

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 20:00 UTC

Slutresultat: CA Tigre BA 1–0 River Plate

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

CA Tigre BA (Hemma)

Prognos 27.72%3.61rättvist odds
EV +3.40%
Fördel +0.913%
Kelly +1.25%
Tillväxt +0.042%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.73

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.55%27.79%27.77%28.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.333.303.7332.26%30.03%30.30%26.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

River Plate (Borta)

Prognos 39.09%2.56rättvist odds
EV -2.28%
Fördel -0.912%
Kelly -1.52%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.44%39.11%39.06%41.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.352.332.5045.45%42.57%42.92%40.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 33.19%3.01rättvist odds
EV -2.09%
Fördel -0.709%
Kelly -1.07%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.65%33.10%33.17%33.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.632.812.802.9538.02%35.56%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: CA Tigre BA (Hemma): 27.72%; River Plate (Borta): 39.09%; Oavgjort: 33.19%. För CA Tigre BA (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.61. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.73, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.40%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetAnything🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV +3.40%E +0.913%K +1.25%G +0.042%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -10.88%E -4.77%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 12:20
1xBet🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.59%EV +0.078%E +0.022%K +0.030%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -5.02%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.92%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 19:54
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV -1.31%E -0.368%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.35%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 19:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.05%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:19
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:25
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:14
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:39
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:39
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:14
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -6.85%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.70%EV -5.80%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:55
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 19:49
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 19:50
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:53
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -2.09%E -0.709%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:44
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -2.09%E -0.709%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:45
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 19:54
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:25
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 14:24
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 15:38
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.01%E -6.37%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 19:35
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 19:55
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 27.76%EV -10.73%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.38%EV -11.27%E -4.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -9.72%E -3.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.71%E -4.83%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.05%E -4.55%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -12.83%E -5.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -12.83%E -5.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -14.01%E -6.37%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 19:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%0.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%0.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%0.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-08 19:55
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44%1.0%2026-08-08 19:55