Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CA Tigre BA v River Plate

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 20:00 UTC

Score final : CA Tigre BA 1–0 River Plate

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Prévision 27.72%3.61cote équitable
EV +3.40%
Avantage +0.913%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%27.79%27.77%28.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.303.7332.26%30.03%30.30%26.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

River Plate (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.09%2.56cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.912%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.44%39.11%39.06%41.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.332.5045.45%42.57%42.92%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 33.19%3.01cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.709%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.65%33.10%33.17%33.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.812.802.9538.02%35.56%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : CA Tigre BA (Local) : 27.72% ; River Plate (Visiteur) : 39.09% ; Match nul : 33.19%. Pour CA Tigre BA (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.61. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.73, soit une espérance positive de +3.40%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetAnything🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV +3.40%E +0.913%K +1.25%G +0.042%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -10.88%E -4.77%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 12:20
1xBet🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.59%EV +0.078%E +0.022%K +0.030%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -5.02%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.92%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 19:54
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV -1.31%E -0.368%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.35%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 19:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.05%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:19
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:25
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:14
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:39
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:39
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:14
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -6.85%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.70%EV -5.80%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:55
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 19:49
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 19:50
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:53
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -2.09%E -0.709%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:44
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -2.09%E -0.709%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:45
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 19:54
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:25
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 14:24
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 15:38
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.01%E -6.37%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 19:35
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 19:55
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 27.76%EV -10.73%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.38%EV -11.27%E -4.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -9.72%E -3.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.71%E -4.83%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.05%E -4.55%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -12.83%E -5.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -12.83%E -5.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -14.01%E -6.37%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 19:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%0.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%0.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%0.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-08 19:55
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44%1.0%2026-08-08 19:55