Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

CA Tigre BA v River Plate

Inizio: 2026-08-08 20:00 UTC

Finale: CA Tigre BA 1–0 River Plate

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

CA Tigre BA (Casa)

Previsione 27.72%3.61quota equa
EV +3.40%
Vantaggio +0.913%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.55%27.79%27.77%28.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.333.303.7332.26%30.03%30.30%26.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

River Plate (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.09%2.56quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -0.912%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.44%39.11%39.06%41.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.352.332.5045.45%42.57%42.92%40.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 33.19%3.01quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.709%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.65%33.10%33.17%33.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.812.802.9538.02%35.56%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: CA Tigre BA (Casa): 27.72%; River Plate (Trasferta): 39.09%; Pareggio: 33.19%. Per CA Tigre BA (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.61. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.73, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.40%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetAnything🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV +3.40%E +0.913%K +1.25%G +0.042%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -10.88%E -4.77%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 12:20
1xBet🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.59%EV +0.078%E +0.022%K +0.030%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -5.02%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.92%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 19:54
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV -1.31%E -0.368%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.35%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 19:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.05%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:19
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:25
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:14
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:39
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:39
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:14
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -6.85%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.70%EV -5.80%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:55
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 19:49
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 19:50
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:53
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -2.09%E -0.709%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:44
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -2.09%E -0.709%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:45
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 19:54
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:25
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 14:24
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 15:38
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.01%E -6.37%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 19:35
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 19:55
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 27.76%EV -10.73%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.38%EV -11.27%E -4.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -9.72%E -3.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.71%E -4.83%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.05%E -4.55%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -12.83%E -5.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -12.83%E -5.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -14.01%E -6.37%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 19:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%0.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%0.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%0.9%2026-08-08 19:55
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-08 19:55
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44%1.0%2026-08-08 19:55