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CA Tigre BA v River Plate
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CA Tigre BA (Local)
Predicción 27.72%3.61momio equitativo
EV +3.40%
Ventaja +0.913%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%27.79%27.77%28.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.333.303.7332.26%30.03%30.30%26.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
River Plate (Visitante)
Predicción 39.09%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.912%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.44%39.11%39.06%41.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.332.5045.45%42.57%42.92%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.19%3.01momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.709%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.65%33.10%33.17%33.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.812.802.9538.02%35.56%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: CA Tigre BA (Local): 27.72%; River Plate (Visitante): 39.09%; Empate: 33.19%. Para CA Tigre BA (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.61. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.73, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV +3.40%E +0.913%K +1.25%G +0.042% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -10.88%E -4.77%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.59%EV +0.078%E +0.022%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -5.02%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.92%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV -1.31%E -0.368%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.35%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -2.28%E -0.912%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.05%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.23%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.97%E -2.93%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -6.85%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.70%EV -5.80%E -2.41%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 19:53 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -2.09%E -0.709%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.92%E -3.83%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -2.09%E -0.709%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 19:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.01%E -6.37%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.19%E -2.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.76%EV -10.73%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.38%EV -11.27%E -4.96%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -9.72%E -3.58%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.10%E -4.39%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.71%E -4.83%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 19:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.05%E -5.36%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.05%E -4.55%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -12.83%E -5.75%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -12.83%E -5.75%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -14.06%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -14.01%E -6.37%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 19:55 |