语言:简体中文
Boca Juniors v Independiente
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Boca Juniors (主队)
预测 38.01%2.63公平赔率
EV -1.17%
优势 -0.450%
Kelly -0.731%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.60
博彩公司预测分布
35.96%38.01%38.05%39.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.422.452.6043.48%41.27%40.82%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
Independiente (客队)
预测 29.12%3.43公平赔率
EV -1.29%
优势 -0.382%
Kelly -0.541%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.39
博彩公司预测分布
28.14%29.14%29.06%30.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.173.203.3933.90%31.52%31.25%29.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 32.87%3.04公平赔率
EV -1.39%
优势 -0.462%
Kelly -0.693%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
31.52%32.85%32.89%33.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.832.853.0038.46%35.35%35.09%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Boca Juniors (主队)：38.01%；Independiente (客队)：29.12%；平局：32.87%。 对于“Boca Juniors (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.63。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.60，期望值为-1.17%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 22:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -4.59%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.57%EV -1.29%E -0.382%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -5.66%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.49%E -2.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.49%EV -2.75%E -0.823%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.49%E -2.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.49%EV -2.75%E -0.823%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 22:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -5.66%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.10%EV -7.30%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 22:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -1.39%E -0.462%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -1.39%E -0.462%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 22:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -10.67%E -4.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -11.90%E -4.44%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 22:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -10.67%E -4.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -12.89%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -11.81%E -5.09%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -11.81%E -5.09%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.23%E -4.58%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-11 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -14.53%E -5.59%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25% | 0.3% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |