La escuela de los momiosBoca Juniors v Independiente
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boca Juniors (Local)
Predicción 38.01%2.63momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.450%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.96%38.01%38.05%39.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.422.452.6043.48%41.27%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente (Visitante)
Predicción 29.12%3.43momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.382%
Kelly -0.541%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.14%29.14%29.06%30.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.173.203.3933.90%31.52%31.25%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.87%3.04momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.462%
Kelly -0.693%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.52%32.85%32.89%33.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.853.0038.46%35.35%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 22:03 |
| Pinnacle | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -4.59%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.57%EV -1.29%E -0.382%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -5.66%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.49%E -2.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.49%EV -2.75%E -0.823%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.49%E -2.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.49%EV -2.75%E -0.823%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 22:24 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 22:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -5.66%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.10%EV -7.30%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 22:04 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -1.39%E -0.462%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -1.39%E -0.462%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 22:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -10.67%E -4.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -11.90%E -4.44%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 22:23 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -10.67%E -4.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -12.89%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -11.81%E -5.09%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -11.81%E -5.09%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-11 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.23%E -4.58%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-11 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -14.53%E -5.59%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25% | 0.3% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 22:15 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |