Die Schule der Quoten

Boca Juniors v Independiente

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-11 22:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Boca Juniors (Heim)

Prognose 38.01%2.63faire Quote
EV -1.17%
Vorteil -0.450%
Kelly -0.731%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.96%38.01%38.05%39.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.422.452.6043.48%41.27%40.82%38.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Independiente (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.12%3.43faire Quote
EV -1.29%
Vorteil -0.382%
Kelly -0.541%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.39

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.14%29.14%29.06%30.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.953.173.203.3933.90%31.52%31.25%29.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 32.87%3.04faire Quote
EV -1.39%
Vorteil -0.462%
Kelly -0.693%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.52%32.85%32.89%33.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.602.832.853.0038.46%35.35%35.09%33.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:03
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -4.59%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.57%EV -1.29%E -0.382%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 22:20
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -5.66%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 22:05
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 22:20
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 22:25
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 22:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 22:05
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.49%E -2.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.49%EV -2.75%E -0.823%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 22:15
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.49%E -2.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.49%EV -2.75%E -0.823%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 22:20
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 22:24
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 22:04
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 22:05
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 22:15
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -5.66%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.10%EV -7.30%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 22:25
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 22:04
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -1.39%E -0.462%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 22:15
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -1.39%E -0.462%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 22:14
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 22:15
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:25
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 22:15
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 22:20
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 22:05
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 22:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 22:25
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -10.67%E -4.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -11.90%E -4.44%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 22:23
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -10.67%E -4.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -12.89%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 22:19
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -11.81%E -5.09%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:20
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -11.81%E -5.09%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 22:15
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 22:25
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-11 22:20
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.23%E -4.58%K -7.33%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -14.53%E -5.59%K -9.08%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-11 22:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25%0.3%2026-04-11 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-04-11 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-04-11 22:15
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%1.2%2026-04-11 22:25
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-04-11 22:15
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05%3.0%2026-04-11 22:25