Szkoła Kursów

Boca Juniors v Independiente

Początek: 2026-04-11 22:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

37 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Boca Juniors (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 38.01%2.63kurs godziwy
EV -1.17%
Przewaga -0.450%
Kelly -0.731%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.96%38.01%38.05%39.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.422.452.6043.48%41.27%40.82%38.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Independiente (Goście)

Prognoza 29.12%3.43kurs godziwy
EV -1.29%
Przewaga -0.382%
Kelly -0.541%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.39

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.14%29.14%29.06%30.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.953.173.203.3933.90%31.52%31.25%29.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 32.87%3.04kurs godziwy
EV -1.39%
Przewaga -0.462%
Kelly -0.693%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.52%32.85%32.89%33.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.832.853.0038.46%35.35%35.09%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (37 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:03
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -4.59%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.57%EV -1.29%E -0.382%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 22:20
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -5.66%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 22:05
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 22:20
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 22:25
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 22:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 22:05
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.49%E -2.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.49%EV -2.75%E -0.823%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 22:15
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.69%EV -6.49%E -2.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.49%EV -2.75%E -0.823%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 22:20
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 22:24
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 22:04
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 22:05
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 22:15
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -5.66%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.10%EV -7.30%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 22:25
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 22:04
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -1.39%E -0.462%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 22:15
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -1.39%E -0.462%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 22:14
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -3.03%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 22:15
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:25
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 22:15
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 22:20
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 22:05
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 22:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 22:25
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -10.67%E -4.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -11.90%E -4.44%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 22:23
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -10.67%E -4.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -12.89%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 22:19
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -11.81%E -5.09%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:20
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -11.81%E -5.09%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 22:15
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 22:25
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-11 22:20
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.23%E -4.58%K -7.33%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -14.53%E -5.59%K -9.08%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-11 22:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25%0.3%2026-04-11 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-04-11 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-04-11 22:15
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%1.2%2026-04-11 22:25
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-04-11 22:15
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05%3.0%2026-04-11 22:25