Language:English
Barracas Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barracas Central (Local)
Prediction 40.08%2.50fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.60%40.11%40.14%40.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.4145.45%43.30%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)
Prediction 25.58%3.91fair odd
EV +2.05%
Edge +0.513%
Kelly +0.684%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.04%25.50%25.53%26.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.653.9929.41%27.39%27.40%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 34.35%2.91fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.40%34.39%34.32%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.702.8240.00%36.88%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 40.08%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 25.58%; Draw: 34.35%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV +2.05%E +0.513%K +0.684%G +0.014% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.14%EV -6.24%E -2.28%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -0.256%E -0.066%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.19%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.09%EV -1.28%E -0.331%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.72%EV -4.17%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.61%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -1.53%E -0.399%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.28%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.61%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -1.53%E -0.399%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.28%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 12:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.61%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -1.53%E -0.399%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.28%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 12:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.81%E -0.740%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.81%E -0.740%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.21%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.21%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -7.02%E -3.02%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -7.02%E -3.02%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.62%E -2.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.39%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -7.02%E -3.02%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -5.01%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-29 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.08%EV -10.62%E -4.76%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-29 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.10%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.33%EV -11.73%E -4.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-29 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.35% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.35% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.35% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |