Barracas Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

2026-07-29 17:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

40%

27%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Barracas Central (Local)

Prediction 40.44%2.47fair odd

EV -4.98%

Edge -2.12%

Kelly -3.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.24%40.63%40.44%42.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.212.252.3550%45%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)

Prediction 27.21%3.67fair odd

EV -0.670%

Edge -0.183%

Kelly -0.253%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.43%27.02%27.21%28.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.003.353.353.6533%30%30%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.35%3.09fair odd

EV -5.86%

Edge -2.01%

Kelly -3.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.50%32.35%32.35%32.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.652.792.832.9138%36%35%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.40%EV -4.98%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%	3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%	2.91I 34.36%NM 32.63%EV -5.86%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-17 17:59
SportsBet	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -4.98%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-17 16:20
FanDuel	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -4.98%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-17 16:23
Marathon Bet	2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -6.59%E -2.85%K -5.03%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%	2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -7.48%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-17 17:54
Fanatics	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.00%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-17 16:45
Paddy Power	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.00%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-17 16:24
Codere (IT)	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.00%EV -10.64%E -4.81%K -8.79%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -0.670%E -0.183%K -0.253%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.57%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-17 16:19
Sky Bet	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -18.36%E -6.12%K -9.18%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-07-17 16:19
Winamax (DE)	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -17.11%E -8.35%K -16.29%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%	15.4%	2026-07-17 16:19
Betclic (FR)	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -17.11%E -8.35%K -16.29%G +0.000%	3.38I 29.59%NM 25.54%EV -8.02%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 32.34%EV -13.62%E -5.10%K -8.16%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-07-17 16:18
Unibet (FR)	2.05I 48.78%NM 41.92%EV -17.11%E -8.35%K -16.29%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 32.43%EV -14.27%E -5.38%K -8.65%G +0.000%	16.4%	2026-07-17 16:19
Winamax (FR)	2.00I 50.00%NM 42.02%EV -19.13%E -9.56%K -19.13%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.26%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 31.71%EV -14.27%E -5.38%K -8.65%G +0.000%	19.0%	2026-07-17 16:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.