L’École des cotes

Barracas Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

2026-07-29 17:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barracas Central (Local)

Prévision 40.73%2.46cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.77%40.68%40.81%42.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.252.252.3848.78%44.42%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.08%3.83cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -0.944%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.61%26.15%26.06%27.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.513.553.7031.75%28.48%28.17%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.19%3.01cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.371%
Kelly -0.558%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.98%33.16%33.13%34.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.802.9838.46%35.58%35.71%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -3.49%E -0.944%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -7.74%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 06:55
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.43%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.89%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.69%EV -6.41%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 06:55
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.80%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.40%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 06:49
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.80%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.40%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 06:49
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -1.11%E -0.371%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 07:20
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -1.11%E -0.371%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 07:19
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.39%EV -5.91%E -2.56%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.69%EV -8.07%E -2.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 06:49
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 06:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 06:59
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 06:54
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 06:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 07:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 07:14
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.40%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 06:44
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.40%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 06:54
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 40.75%EV -6.73%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 06:59
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -8.36%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.80%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -2.10%E -0.712%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 03:25
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -8.36%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.80%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -2.10%E -0.712%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 03:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.36%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 06:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.36%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 06:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.36%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -4.42%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 06:50
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.36%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -4.42%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 06:45
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.36%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 07:24
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.36%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 06:45
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.36%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 06:50
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -9.17%E -4.11%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -4.80%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 03:25
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.39%E -4.72%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 06:50
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.26%EV -12.02%E -5.57%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 03:25
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.26%EV -12.02%E -5.57%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 03:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.43%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 06:54
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -12.43%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -10.40%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 06:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.09%EV -12.84%E -6.00%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 03:25
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.19%EV -13.24%E -6.22%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.96%EV -11.84%E -3.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.86%EV -11.39%E -4.27%K -6.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 06:54
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.92%EV -16.50%E -8.05%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -12.62%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.43%EV -12.06%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.4%2026-07-26 06:55
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.00%EV -16.50%E -8.05%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.68%EV -17.84%E -5.66%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.32%EV -13.72%E -5.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-26 06:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%6.5%2026-07-26 06:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%6.5%2026-07-26 06:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%6.5%2026-07-26 06:49
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%7.9%2026-07-26 07:10