StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barracas Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Matchstart: 2026-07-29 17:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Barracas Central 1–0 Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barracas Central (Hemma)

Prognos 40.08%2.50rättvist odds
EV -3.41%
Fördel -1.42%
Kelly -2.42%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.60%40.11%40.14%40.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.312.302.4145.45%43.30%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Borta)

Prognos 25.58%3.91rättvist odds
EV +2.05%
Fördel +0.513%
Kelly +0.684%
Tillväxt +0.014%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.99

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.04%25.50%25.53%26.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.653.653.9929.41%27.39%27.40%25.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 34.35%2.91rättvist odds
EV -3.14%
Fördel -1.12%
Kelly -1.73%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.40%34.39%34.32%35.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.712.702.8240.00%36.88%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Barracas Central (Hemma): 40.08%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Borta): 25.58%; Oavgjort: 34.35%. För Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.91. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.99, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.05%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV +2.05%E +0.513%K +0.684%G +0.014%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.14%EV -6.24%E -2.28%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -0.256%E -0.066%K -0.088%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.19%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.09%EV -1.28%E -0.331%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.72%EV -4.17%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-29 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.61%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -1.53%E -0.399%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.28%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-29 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.61%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -1.53%E -0.399%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.28%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-29 12:45
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.61%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -1.53%E -0.399%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.28%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-29 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.81%E -0.740%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.81%E -0.740%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 17:10
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.21%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 17:20
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.21%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 17:15
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -7.02%E -3.02%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -7.02%E -3.02%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 17:15
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -4.61%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-29 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.62%E -2.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.39%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 17:15
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -7.02%E -3.02%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:15
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -5.01%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 17:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:24
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:10
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 17:24
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-29 17:25
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-29 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-29 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-29 17:10
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 17:25
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.82%E -3.40%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-29 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.08%EV -10.62%E -4.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-29 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-29 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.10%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.33%EV -11.73%E -4.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-29 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-29 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.82%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-29 17:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%0.8%2026-07-29 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%0.8%2026-07-29 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%0.8%2026-07-29 17:25
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-07-29 17:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.0%2026-07-29 17:10