A Escola das Odds

Barracas Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

2026-07-29 17:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Barracas Central (Local)

Previsão 39.81%2.51odd justa
EV +0.727%
Vantagem +0.287%
Kelly +0.475%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.67%39.79%39.85%42.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.302.302.5347.62%43.49%43.48%39.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visitante)

Previsão 27.32%3.66odd justa
EV -0.280%
Vantagem -0.077%
Kelly -0.106%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.67%27.32%27.12%29.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.383.383.6533.33%29.61%29.63%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.87%3.04odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.70%32.88%33.04%34.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.832.852.9538.46%35.29%35.09%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 37.67%EV +0.727%E +0.287%K +0.475%G +0.003%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -7.93%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 02:55
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -2.06%E -0.837%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -7.66%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 03:09
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.65%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 02:50
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.65%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 02:50
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.56%EV -3.65%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -9.30%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 03:04
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 02:50
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 03:11
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 02:50
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:04
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 03:04
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:20
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 03:09
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 16:23
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -13.94%E -4.43%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 03:14
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 03:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 08:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.34%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 08:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -5.34%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 00:30
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.34%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 03:14
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 17:30
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.99%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.45%EV -5.34%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.99%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.45%EV -5.34%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 16:45
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -0.280%E -0.077%K -0.106%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 03:25
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -0.280%E -0.077%K -0.106%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 03:25
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.34%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 10:05
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -11.22%E -5.03%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -0.280%E -0.077%K -0.106%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 03:25
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -12.41%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 03:04
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -12.41%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -18.04%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-17 16:19
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.27%EV -13.21%E -6.06%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -10.66%E -3.26%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.88%EV -12.25%E -4.59%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 03:03
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.26%EV -14.00%E -6.48%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -3.01%E -0.849%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 03:25
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.26%EV -14.00%E -6.48%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -3.01%E -0.849%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 03:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.09%EV -14.80%E -6.92%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 03:25
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%EV -16.39%E -7.81%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.50%EV -12.90%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 03:05
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.06%EV -16.39%E -7.81%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.58%EV -16.67%E -5.47%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.36%EV -14.55%E -5.59%K -9.09%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-26 03:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.17%6.1%2026-07-26 03:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.17%6.1%2026-07-26 03:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.17%6.1%2026-07-26 03:59
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.09%7.1%2026-07-26 04:15