Language:English
Banfield v Sarmiento de Junin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Banfield (Local)
Prediction 43.04%2.32fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.03%43.15%42.99%44.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.61%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sarmiento de Junin (Visit)
Prediction 25.39%3.94fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +0.816%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 4.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.74%25.26%25.41%26.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.694.0729.41%27.07%27.10%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.57%3.17fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.62%31.59%31.60%32.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.953.0536.36%34.02%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Banfield (Local): 43.04%; Sarmiento de Junin (Visit): 25.39%; Draw: 31.57%. For Sarmiento de Junin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +3.32%E +0.816%K +1.08%G +0.036% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 21:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +3.32%E +0.816%K +1.08%G +0.036% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 21:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +3.32%E +0.816%K +1.08%G +0.036% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 21:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -7.89%E -3.68%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.273%E +0.069%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -0.996%E -0.255%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -0.996%E -0.255%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -4.01%E -1.80%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.88%EV -1.25%E -0.321%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.07%EV -7.89%E -3.68%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -2.27%E -0.588%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -3.53%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -11.76%E -5.74%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -3.53%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.62%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -11.33%E -5.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-28 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.25%EV -12.19%E -5.98%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.35%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%EV -6.16%E -2.83%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -3.15%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-28 21:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -13.18%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-28 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -10.90%E -5.26%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.60%EV -10.66%E -3.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -13.91%E -6.96%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -13.05%E -6.46%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 25.80%EV -11.40%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 29.62%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-28 21:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.76%E -5.74%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.69%E -4.03%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |