Idioma:Español
Banfield v Sarmiento de Junin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Banfield (Local)
Predicción 43.04%2.32momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.03%43.15%42.99%44.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.61%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sarmiento de Junin (Visitante)
Predicción 25.39%3.94momio equitativo
EV +3.32%
Ventaja +0.816%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.036%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.74%25.26%25.41%26.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.694.0729.41%27.07%27.10%24.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.57%3.17momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.62%31.59%31.60%32.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.953.0536.36%34.02%33.90%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Banfield (Local): 43.04%; Sarmiento de Junin (Visitante): 25.39%; Empate: 31.57%. Para Sarmiento de Junin (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.94. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.07, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.32%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +3.32%E +0.816%K +1.08%G +0.036% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 21:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +3.32%E +0.816%K +1.08%G +0.036% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 21:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +3.32%E +0.816%K +1.08%G +0.036% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 21:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -7.89%E -3.68%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.273%E +0.069%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -0.996%E -0.255%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -0.996%E -0.255%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -4.01%E -1.80%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.88%EV -1.25%E -0.321%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.07%EV -7.89%E -3.68%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -2.27%E -0.588%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -3.53%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -11.76%E -5.74%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -3.53%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.62%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -11.33%E -5.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-28 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.25%EV -12.19%E -5.98%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.35%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%EV -6.16%E -2.83%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -3.15%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-28 21:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -13.18%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-28 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -10.90%E -5.26%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.60%EV -10.66%E -3.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -13.91%E -6.96%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -13.05%E -6.46%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 25.80%EV -11.40%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 29.62%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-28 21:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.76%E -5.74%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.69%E -4.03%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |