A Escola das Odds

Banfield v Sarmiento de Junin

2026-07-28 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Banfield (Local)

Previsão 45.81%2.18odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.705%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.55%45.80%45.81%47.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.872.042.052.1553.48%49.00%48.78%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sarmiento de Junin (Visitante)

Previsão 22.92%4.36odd justa
EV -0.769%
Vantagem -0.178%
Kelly -0.231%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.56%23.03%22.90%25.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.933.904.3328.57%25.47%25.64%23.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.28%3.20odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -0.982%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.34%31.18%31.29%31.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.973.003.1037.04%33.64%33.33%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 22:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -15.21%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 17:49
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -15.21%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 17:49
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.48%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 04:04
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.48%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 04:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.33%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 07:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -17.50%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 22:14
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -19.79%E -5.65%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.43%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 22:05
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -3.75%E -0.892%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 00:55
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -10.62%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.04%E -0.982%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 22:30
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -10.62%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.04%E -0.982%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 22:30
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -11.77%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.04%E -0.982%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 22:30
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.30%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -11.77%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 04:04
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.86%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.50%EV -3.29%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:58
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -5.64%E -2.74%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 08:40
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 01:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.33%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.33%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 07:20
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 01:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 01:00
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -7.01%E -3.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -4.89%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:55
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.16%EV -7.47%E -3.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -0.769%E -0.178%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.83%EV -3.36%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:45
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.16%EV -7.47%E -3.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -0.769%E -0.178%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.83%EV -3.36%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:45
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.05%EV -7.47%E -3.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.46%E -0.339%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -3.67%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 12:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.21%EV -7.47%E -3.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 22:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.21%EV -7.47%E -3.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 22:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -8.39%E -4.19%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 23:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -8.39%E -4.19%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.33%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -9.76%E -4.95%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -15.21%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.24%EV -10.22%E -5.21%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 00:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -10.68%E -5.48%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -1.46%E -0.339%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 22:05
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -10.68%E -5.48%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.33%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 03:05
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.49%EV -11.59%E -6.01%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.92%EV -12.23%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.58%EV -13.05%E -4.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 00:54
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.66%EV -12.97%E -6.82%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.90%EV -18.64%E -5.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.43%EV -15.55%E -5.76%K -9.15%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-25 00:55
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.04%EV -14.34%E -7.67%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.66%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.31%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-25 00:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52%4.0%2026-07-25 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52%4.0%2026-07-25 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52%4.0%2026-07-25 22:05
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%5.0%2026-07-26 03:59