默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Banfield v Sarmiento de Junin

开赛时间: 2026-07-28 22:00 UTC

最终结果: Banfield 3–2 Sarmiento de Junin

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Banfield (主队)

预测 43.04%2.32公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -1.40%
Kelly -2.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
42.03%43.15%42.99%44.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.61%46.51%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sarmiento de Junin (客队)

预测 25.39%3.94公平赔率
EV +3.32%
优势 +0.816%
Kelly +1.08%
增长率 +0.036%

假设最高赔率为 4.07

博彩公司预测分布
23.74%25.26%25.41%26.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.693.694.0729.41%27.07%27.10%24.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.57%3.17公平赔率
EV -3.71%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -1.81%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
29.62%31.59%31.60%32.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.942.953.0536.36%34.02%33.90%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Banfield (主队):43.04%;Sarmiento de Junin (客队):25.39%;平局:31.57%。 对于“Sarmiento de Junin (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.94。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.07,对应+3.32%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +3.32%E +0.816%K +1.08%G +0.036%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-28 21:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +3.32%E +0.816%K +1.08%G +0.036%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-28 21:35
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +3.32%E +0.816%K +1.08%G +0.036%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-28 21:34
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -7.89%E -3.68%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.273%E +0.069%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 21:55
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -0.996%E -0.255%K -0.343%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 21:44
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -0.996%E -0.255%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 21:44
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -4.01%E -1.80%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.88%EV -1.25%E -0.321%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 21:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.07%EV -7.89%E -3.68%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -2.27%E -0.588%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 21:54
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -3.53%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -11.76%E -5.74%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -3.53%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-28 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.62%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -11.33%E -5.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-28 21:54
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 21:54
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.44%E -2.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 21:39
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-28 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-28 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.25%EV -12.19%E -5.98%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.35%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-28 21:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%EV -6.16%E -2.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 21:54
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -3.15%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 21:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 21:54
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 21:49
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 21:49
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 21:49
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 21:34
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -13.18%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-28 21:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -10.90%E -5.26%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.60%EV -10.66%E -3.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-28 21:39
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-28 21:49
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.45%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-28 21:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 21:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -13.91%E -6.96%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-28 21:44
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -13.05%E -6.46%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 25.80%EV -11.40%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.62%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 21:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.76%E -5.74%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-28 21:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.61%E -4.57%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.69%E -4.03%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 21:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-07-28 21:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-07-28 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-07-28 21:44
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%1.6%2026-07-28 21:39