L’École des cotes

Banfield v Sarmiento de Junin

2026-07-28 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Banfield (Local)

Prévision 45.75%2.19cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.761%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.55%45.69%45.81%47.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.042.052.1553.48%48.96%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sarmiento de Junin (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.92%4.36cote équitable
EV -0.758%
Avantage -0.175%
Kelly -0.228%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.00%23.09%22.90%25.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.933.924.3328.57%25.47%25.48%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.33%3.19cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -0.929%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.34%31.22%31.29%31.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.973.003.1037.04%33.66%33.33%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -1.64%E -0.761%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 22:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -1.64%E -0.761%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -15.20%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 17:49
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -1.64%E -0.761%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -15.20%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 17:49
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -3.01%E -1.42%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.45%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 07:00
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -3.01%E -1.42%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.45%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 06:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 07:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -17.49%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.15%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 22:14
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -19.78%E -5.65%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.28%E -4.39%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 22:05
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.52%EV -3.28%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.79%EV -6.33%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 04:59
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 00:55
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.88%E -0.929%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 22:30
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.88%E -0.929%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 22:30
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.88%E -0.929%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 22:30
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -9.15%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 05:19
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -5.75%E -2.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -7.58%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 08:40
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.13%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 05:09
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 01:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.58%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 07:20
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 01:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 01:00
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.76%EV -6.67%E -3.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.88%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -7.89%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 04:59
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.16%EV -7.58%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -0.758%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.83%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:45
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.16%EV -7.58%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -0.758%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.83%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:45
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.21%EV -7.58%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 22:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.21%EV -7.58%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 22:30
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 05:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 04:44
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -7.58%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 05:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.15%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -9.87%E -5.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -15.20%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.58%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.24%EV -10.33%E -5.27%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.71%E -3.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 00:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -10.79%E -5.53%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -6.01%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 03:05
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.49%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.92%EV -12.22%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.58%EV -12.90%E -4.64%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 00:54
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.66%EV -13.07%E -6.88%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.90%EV -18.63%E -5.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.43%EV -15.41%E -5.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-25 00:55
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.04%EV -14.45%E -7.72%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.66%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.31%EV -13.84%E -5.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-25 00:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%3.1%2026-07-26 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%3.1%2026-07-26 07:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%4.5%2026-07-26 05:14
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%5.1%2026-07-26 07:10