语言:简体中文
Atlético Tucuman v River Plate
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Atlético Tucuman (主队)
预测 23.67%4.23公平赔率
EV +6.50%
优势 +1.44%
Kelly +1.86%
增长率 +0.121%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
21.36%23.59%23.64%24.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.923.904.5027.78%25.50%25.64%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
River Plate (客队)
预测 45.71%2.19公平赔率
EV -3.55%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -3.20%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.11
博彩公司预测分布
44.49%45.75%45.71%47.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.022.032.1153.19%49.58%49.26%47.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.62%3.27公平赔率
EV -2.93%
优势 -0.924%
Kelly -1.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.17
博彩公司预测分布
29.51%30.66%30.64%31.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.033.023.1735.71%33.05%33.11%31.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Atlético Tucuman (主队)：23.67%；River Plate (客队)：45.71%；平局：30.62%。 对于“Atlético Tucuman (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.23。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.50，对应+6.50%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV +6.50%E +1.44%K +1.86%G +0.121% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.585%E +0.138%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.585%E +0.138%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -2.97%E -0.723%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -5.84%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.65%EV -3.20%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.84%EV -3.55%E -1.68%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -2.93%E -0.924%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -4.92%E -2.37%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.64%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -7.23%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.91%E -2.27%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.07%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.07%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 20:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.66%EV -14.06%E -7.48%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.23%EV -10.54%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -12.69%E -6.64%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -12.73%E -4.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -14.26%E -5.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.58%EV -11.78%E -6.10%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.65%EV -12.12%E -4.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.80%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.91%EV -12.69%E -6.64%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 20:11 |