Lingua:Italiano
Atlético Tucuman v River Plate
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Atlético Tucuman (Casa)
Previsione 23.67%4.23quota equa
EV +6.50%
Vantaggio +1.44%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescita +0.121%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.36%23.59%23.64%24.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.923.904.5027.78%25.50%25.64%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
River Plate (Trasferta)
Previsione 45.71%2.19quota equa
EV -3.55%
Vantaggio -1.68%
Kelly -3.20%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.49%45.75%45.71%47.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.022.032.1153.19%49.58%49.26%47.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 30.62%3.27quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -0.924%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.17
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.51%30.66%30.64%31.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.033.023.1735.71%33.05%33.11%31.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Atlético Tucuman (Casa): 23.67%; River Plate (Trasferta): 45.71%; Pareggio: 30.62%. Per Atlético Tucuman (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.23. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.50%.
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV +6.50%E +1.44%K +1.86%G +0.121% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.585%E +0.138%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.585%E +0.138%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -2.97%E -0.723%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -5.84%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.65%EV -3.20%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.84%EV -3.55%E -1.68%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -2.93%E -0.924%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -4.92%E -2.37%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.64%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -7.23%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.91%E -2.27%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.07%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.07%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 20:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.66%EV -14.06%E -7.48%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.23%EV -10.54%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -12.69%E -6.64%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -12.73%E -4.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -14.26%E -5.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.58%EV -11.78%E -6.10%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.65%EV -12.12%E -4.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.80%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.91%EV -12.69%E -6.64%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 20:11 |