StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atlético Tucuman v River Plate

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 20:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Atlético Tucuman 1–2 River Plate

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atlético Tucuman (Hemma)

Prognos 23.67%4.23rättvist odds
EV +6.50%
Fördel +1.44%
Kelly +1.86%
Tillväxt +0.121%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.36%23.59%23.64%24.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.923.904.5027.78%25.50%25.64%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

River Plate (Borta)

Prognos 45.71%2.19rättvist odds
EV -3.55%
Fördel -1.68%
Kelly -3.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.11

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.49%45.75%45.71%47.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.882.022.032.1153.19%49.58%49.26%47.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.62%3.27rättvist odds
EV -2.93%
Fördel -0.924%
Kelly -1.35%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.17

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.51%30.66%30.64%31.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.033.023.1735.71%33.05%33.11%31.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Atlético Tucuman (Hemma): 23.67%; River Plate (Borta): 45.71%; Oavgjort: 30.62%. För Atlético Tucuman (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.23. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.50%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV +6.50%E +1.44%K +1.86%G +0.121%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 20:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 20:15
BetAnything🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 20:15
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.585%E +0.138%K +0.180%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 20:15
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.585%E +0.138%K +0.180%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 20:15
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -2.97%E -0.723%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -5.84%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 20:20
Pinnacle🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.65%EV -3.20%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.84%EV -3.55%E -1.68%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -2.93%E -0.924%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 20:25
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:15
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:15
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:15
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -4.92%E -2.37%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 20:15
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 20:15
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.64%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -7.23%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.91%E -2.27%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.07%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 20:25
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.07%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 20:15
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 20:14
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 20:15
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 20:15
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 20:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 20:15
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.66%EV -14.06%E -7.48%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 23.23%EV -10.54%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -12.69%E -6.64%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -12.73%E -4.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 20:15
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 20:15
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 20:20
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 20:15
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -14.26%E -5.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 20:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.58%EV -11.78%E -6.10%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.65%EV -12.12%E -4.22%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-12 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.80%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.91%EV -12.69%E -6.64%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 20:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-09-12 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-09-12 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-09-12 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-09-12 20:20
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.0%2026-09-12 20:11