Langue:Français
Atlético Tucuman v River Plate
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atlético Tucuman (Local)
Prévision 23.67%4.23cote équitable
EV +6.50%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +1.86%
Croissance +0.121%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.36%23.59%23.64%24.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.923.904.5027.78%25.50%25.64%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
River Plate (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.71%2.19cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.49%45.75%45.71%47.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.882.022.032.1153.19%49.58%49.26%47.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.62%3.27cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -0.924%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.51%30.66%30.64%31.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.033.023.1735.71%33.05%33.11%31.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlético Tucuman (Local) : 23.67% ; River Plate (Visiteur) : 45.71% ; Match nul : 30.62%. Pour Atlético Tucuman (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.23. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +6.50%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV +6.50%E +1.44%K +1.86%G +0.121% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV +1.29%E +0.303%K +0.395%G +0.005% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -3.85%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.585%E +0.138%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.585%E +0.138%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -2.97%E -0.723%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -5.84%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.65%EV -3.20%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.84%EV -3.55%E -1.68%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -2.93%E -0.924%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -4.92%E -2.37%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.64%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -7.23%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.91%E -2.27%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.07%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.07%EV -6.75%E -3.31%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 20:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -9.49%E -4.79%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.66%EV -14.06%E -7.48%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.23%EV -10.54%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -12.69%E -6.64%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -12.73%E -4.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.66%E -3.79%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -14.26%E -5.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.58%EV -11.78%E -6.10%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.65%EV -12.12%E -4.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -10.41%E -5.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.80%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.91%EV -12.69%E -6.64%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 20:11 |