Language:English
Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Independiente Rivadavia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)
Prediction 36.30%2.76fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.583%
Kelly +0.907%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.49%36.12%36.22%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.582.602.8041.67%38.80%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)
Prediction 31.82%3.14fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.09%32.01%31.85%34.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.862.903.0238.02%34.91%34.48%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.88%3.14fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.84%31.87%31.92%32.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.902.903.0438.02%34.47%34.48%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 36.30%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 31.82%; Draw: 31.88%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +1.63%E +0.583%K +0.907%G +0.015% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -0.182%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.76%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -0.182%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.76%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.59%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.56%EV -6.59%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.35%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.09%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.56%EV -3.09%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 16:03 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.35%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.74%E -3.83%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 16:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.33%E -4.48%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -16.31%E -6.20%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -16.16%E -6.14%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.68%EV -11.80%E -4.85%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.49%EV -9.78%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.89%EV -12.16%E -5.03%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.17%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.93%EV -13.29%E -4.89%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.95% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.16% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |