A Escola das Odds

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Independiente Rivadavia

Início: 2026-05-03 16:30 UTC

Final: Aldosivi Mar del Plata 1–1 Independiente Rivadavia

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)

Previsão 36.30%2.76odd justa
EV +1.63%
Vantagem +0.583%
Kelly +0.907%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.49%36.12%36.22%37.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.582.602.8041.67%38.80%38.46%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)

Previsão 31.82%3.14odd justa
EV -3.89%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.09%32.01%31.85%34.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.862.903.0238.02%34.91%34.48%33.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.88%3.14odd justa
EV -3.09%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.84%31.87%31.92%32.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.902.903.0438.02%34.47%34.48%32.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +1.63%E +0.583%K +0.907%G +0.015%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 15:55
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -0.182%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.76%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 15:49
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -0.182%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.76%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 15:50
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.59%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.56%EV -6.59%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 16:15
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.35%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.09%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.56%EV -3.09%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 16:25
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:10
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 16:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:10
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:20
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:20
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:20
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:20
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 16:03
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 16:20
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 16:05
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:10
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:25
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 16:05
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 16:25
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.35%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:25
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 16:20
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:25
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 16:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:25
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 16:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.74%E -3.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 16:19
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.33%E -4.48%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -16.31%E -6.20%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -16.16%E -6.14%K -9.91%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-03 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.68%EV -11.80%E -4.85%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.49%EV -9.78%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 16:09
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.89%EV -12.16%E -5.03%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.17%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.93%EV -13.29%E -4.89%K -7.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 16:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.3%2026-05-03 16:25
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11%1.4%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%1.6%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.95%1.8%2026-05-03 16:25
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.16%2.6%2026-05-03 16:25