La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Independiente Rivadavia
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Casa)
Previsione 36.30%2.76quota equa
EV +1.63%
Vantaggio +0.583%
Kelly +0.907%
Crescita +0.015%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.49%36.12%36.22%37.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.582.602.8041.67%38.80%38.46%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Independiente Rivadavia (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.82%3.14quota equa
EV -3.89%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.02
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.09%32.01%31.85%34.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.862.903.0238.02%34.91%34.48%33.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.88%3.14quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.84%31.87%31.92%32.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.902.903.0438.02%34.47%34.48%32.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +1.63%E +0.583%K +0.907%G +0.015% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -0.182%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.76%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -0.182%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.76%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.59%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.56%EV -6.59%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.35%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.09%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.56%EV -3.09%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 16:03 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.35%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.74%E -3.83%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 16:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.33%E -4.48%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -16.31%E -6.20%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -16.16%E -6.14%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.68%EV -11.80%E -4.85%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.49%EV -9.78%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.89%EV -12.16%E -5.03%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.17%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.93%EV -13.29%E -4.89%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.95% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.16% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |