La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Independiente Rivadavia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)
Predicción 36.30%2.76momio equitativo
EV +1.63%
Ventaja +0.583%
Kelly +0.907%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.49%36.12%36.22%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.602.8041.67%38.80%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)
Predicción 31.82%3.14momio equitativo
EV -3.89%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -1.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.09%32.01%31.85%34.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.862.903.0238.02%34.91%34.48%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.88%3.14momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.84%31.87%31.92%32.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.902.903.0438.02%34.47%34.48%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +1.63%E +0.583%K +0.907%G +0.015% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -0.182%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.76%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -0.182%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.76%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.59%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.56%EV -6.59%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.35%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.09%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.56%EV -3.09%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 16:03 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.35%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.74%E -3.83%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 16:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.33%E -4.48%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -16.31%E -6.20%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -16.16%E -6.14%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.68%EV -11.80%E -4.85%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.49%EV -9.78%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.89%EV -12.16%E -5.03%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.17%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.93%EV -13.29%E -4.89%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.95% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.16% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |