Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Independiente Rivadavia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 16:30 UTC

Score final : Aldosivi Mar del Plata 1–1 Independiente Rivadavia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)

Prévision 36.30%2.76cote équitable
EV +1.63%
Avantage +0.583%
Kelly +0.907%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.49%36.12%36.22%37.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.602.8041.67%38.80%38.46%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.82%3.14cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.09%32.01%31.85%34.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.862.903.0238.02%34.91%34.48%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.88%3.14cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.84%31.87%31.92%32.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.902.903.0438.02%34.47%34.48%32.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local) : 36.30% ; Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur) : 31.82% ; Match nul : 31.88%. Pour Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.76. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.80, soit une espérance positive de +1.63%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +1.63%E +0.583%K +0.907%G +0.015%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -0.182%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.76%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -0.182%E -0.066%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.76%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 15:50
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.00%E -0.740%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.86%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.59%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.56%EV -6.59%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 16:15
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.35%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.09%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.56%EV -3.09%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 16:25
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:10
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:20
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:20
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 16:03
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 16:20
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 16:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:10
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.35%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -6.44%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:25
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 16:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.74%E -3.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 16:19
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.33%E -4.48%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -16.31%E -6.20%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -16.16%E -6.14%K -9.91%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-03 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.68%EV -11.80%E -4.85%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.49%EV -9.78%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 16:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 35.89%EV -12.16%E -5.03%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.17%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.93%EV -13.29%E -4.89%K -7.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -14.08%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.3%2026-05-03 16:25
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11%1.4%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%1.6%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.95%1.8%2026-05-03 16:25
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.16%2.6%2026-05-03 16:25