Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Banfield

2026-09-05 16:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

37%

31%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)

Prediction 36.73%2.72fair odd

EV -6.34%

Edge -2.49%

Kelly -4.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.34%36.73%36.73%36.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.492.522.5541.67%40.08%39.60%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Banfield (Visit)

Prediction 31.29%3.20fair odd

EV -4.56%

Edge -1.49%

Kelly -2.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.86%31.29%31.29%31.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.752.902.923.0536.36%34.44%34.31%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.98%3.13fair odd

EV -5.66%

Edge -1.92%

Kelly -2.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.68%31.98%31.98%32.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.752.862.902.9536.36%34.98%34.48%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 36.73%; Banfield (Visit): 31.29%; Draw: 31.98%. For Banfield (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -4.56%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
NordicBet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.62%E -2.27%K -3.45%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 15:30
Betsson🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.62%E -2.27%K -3.45%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 15:30
Unibet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.66%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-29 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.66%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-29 15:30
BetRivers🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.90%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-29 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -10.75%E -4.42%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.06%E -4.38%K -6.89%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-29 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -10.75%E -4.42%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.06%E -4.38%K -6.89%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-29 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.06%E -4.38%K -6.89%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-08-29 15:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.