Language:English
Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Banfield
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)
Prediction 38.08%2.63fair odd
EV -0.996%
Edge -0.383%
Kelly -0.623%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.34%37.92%38.09%38.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.79%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Banfield (Visit)
Prediction 30.21%3.31fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.555%
Kelly -0.802%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.30%30.34%30.19%31.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.013.003.2536.36%33.26%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.71%3.15fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%31.73%31.72%32.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.722.922.923.0536.76%34.30%34.25%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 38.08%; Banfield (Visit): 30.21%; Draw: 31.71%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.996%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.66%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.84%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -1.80%E -0.555%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.61%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -5.57%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.65%EV -5.57%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.93%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -3.29%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -7.47%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -7.47%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -10.52%E -4.47%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.96%EV -11.66%E -5.03%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.66%EV -10.26%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.38%EV -13.75%E -5.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 17:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |