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Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Banfield
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)
Predicción 38.08%2.63momio equitativo
EV -0.996%
Ventaja -0.383%
Kelly -0.623%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.34%37.92%38.09%38.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.79%40.82%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Banfield (Visitante)
Predicción 30.21%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.555%
Kelly -0.802%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.30%30.34%30.19%31.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.003.2536.36%33.26%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.71%3.15momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.77%31.73%31.72%32.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.722.922.923.0536.76%34.30%34.25%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 38.08%; Banfield (Visitante): 30.21%; Empate: 31.71%. Para Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.63. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.60, con un valor esperado de -0.996%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.66%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.84%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -1.80%E -0.555%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.61%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -5.57%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.65%EV -5.57%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.93%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -3.29%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -7.47%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -7.47%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -10.52%E -4.47%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.96%EV -11.66%E -5.03%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.66%EV -10.26%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.38%EV -13.75%E -5.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 17:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |