默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Banfield

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 16:30 UTC

最终结果: Aldosivi Mar del Plata 3–1 Banfield

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (主队)

预测 38.08%2.63公平赔率
EV -0.996%
优势 -0.383%
Kelly -0.623%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
36.34%37.92%38.09%38.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.79%40.82%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Banfield (客队)

预测 30.21%3.31公平赔率
EV -1.80%
优势 -0.555%
Kelly -0.802%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
29.30%30.34%30.19%31.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.013.003.2536.36%33.26%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.71%3.15公平赔率
EV -3.29%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -1.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
30.77%31.73%31.72%32.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.722.922.923.0536.76%34.30%34.25%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Aldosivi Mar del Plata (主队):38.08%;Banfield (客队):30.21%;平局:31.71%。 对于“Aldosivi Mar del Plata (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.63。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.60,期望值为-0.996%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:30
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:15
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:30
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.66%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.84%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:50
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:50
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -1.80%E -0.555%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.61%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:00
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 13:10
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 13:10
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -5.57%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.65%EV -5.57%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.93%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:39
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -3.29%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 17:55
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 17:55
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:05
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -7.47%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -7.47%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 15:30
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 16:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 15:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 17:54
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -10.52%E -4.47%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.96%EV -11.66%E -5.03%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.66%EV -10.26%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.38%EV -13.75%E -5.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 17:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 17:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%1.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 37.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%3.9%2026-09-04 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30%4.6%2026-09-04 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30%4.6%2026-09-04 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30%4.6%2026-09-04 14:00