Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Banfield

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 16:30 UTC

Score final : Aldosivi Mar del Plata 3–1 Banfield

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)

Prévision 38.08%2.63cote équitable
EV -0.996%
Avantage -0.383%
Kelly -0.623%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.34%37.92%38.09%38.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.79%40.82%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Banfield (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.21%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.555%
Kelly -0.802%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.30%30.34%30.19%31.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.013.003.2536.36%33.26%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.71%3.15cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.77%31.73%31.72%32.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.722.922.923.0536.76%34.30%34.25%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local) : 38.08% ; Banfield (Visiteur) : 30.21% ; Match nul : 31.71%. Pour Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.63. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.60, pour une espérance de -0.996% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:30
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:15
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:30
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.66%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.84%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:50
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:50
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -1.80%E -0.555%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.61%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:00
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 13:10
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 13:10
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -5.57%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.65%EV -5.57%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.93%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:39
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -3.29%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 17:55
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 17:55
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:05
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -7.47%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -7.47%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 15:30
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 16:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 15:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 17:54
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -10.52%E -4.47%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.96%EV -11.66%E -5.03%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.66%EV -10.26%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.38%EV -13.75%E -5.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 17:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 17:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%1.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 37.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%3.9%2026-09-04 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30%4.6%2026-09-04 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30%4.6%2026-09-04 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30%4.6%2026-09-04 14:00