Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Banfield

Inizio: 2026-09-05 16:30 UTC

Finale: Aldosivi Mar del Plata 3–1 Banfield

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Casa)

Previsione 38.08%2.63quota equa
EV -0.996%
Vantaggio -0.383%
Kelly -0.623%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.34%37.92%38.09%38.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.79%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Banfield (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.21%3.31quota equa
EV -1.80%
Vantaggio -0.555%
Kelly -0.802%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.30%30.34%30.19%31.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.013.003.2536.36%33.26%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.71%3.15quota equa
EV -3.29%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.77%31.73%31.72%32.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.722.922.923.0536.76%34.30%34.25%32.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Casa): 38.08%; Banfield (Trasferta): 30.21%; Pareggio: 31.71%. Per Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.63. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.60, con un valore atteso del -0.996%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:30
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -0.996%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:15
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:30
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.66%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.84%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:50
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.51%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:50
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -1.80%E -0.555%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.61%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:00
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 13:10
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 13:10
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -5.57%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.65%EV -5.57%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.93%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:39
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -3.29%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 17:55
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 17:55
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:05
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -7.47%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -7.47%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 15:30
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 16:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.80%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 15:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 17:54
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.68%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -10.52%E -4.47%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.96%EV -11.66%E -5.03%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.66%EV -10.26%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.38%EV -13.75%E -5.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 17:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 17:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%1.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 37.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%3.9%2026-09-04 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30%4.6%2026-09-04 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30%4.6%2026-09-04 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.30%4.6%2026-09-04 14:00