Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Tampa Bay Lightning v Pittsburgh Penguins
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Tampa Bay Lightning (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 59.33%1.69kurs godziwy
EV -2.10%
Przewaga -1.28%
Kelly -3.24%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.65
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.65%59.43%59.30%61.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.601.611.6568.03%62.32%62.11%60.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Pittsburgh Penguins (Goście)
Prognoza 40.67%2.46kurs godziwy
EV -0.359%
Przewaga -0.147%
Kelly -0.248%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.90%40.57%40.70%41.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.40%42.55%40.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
21 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.70%E -1.65%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.99%E -0.824%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.05%E -2.62%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:03 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 22:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -12.78%E -8.70%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (9)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14% | 0.0% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59% | 2.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (21)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.16% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.63% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.59% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.48% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.59% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.18% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.67% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.67% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.65% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68% | 12.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |