L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Tampa Bay Lightning v Pittsburgh Penguins
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Prévision 59.33%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -3.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.65%59.43%59.30%61.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.601.611.6568.03%62.32%62.11%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.67%2.46cote équitable
EV -0.359%
Avantage -0.147%
Kelly -0.248%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%40.57%40.70%41.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.40%42.55%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.70%E -1.65%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.99%E -0.824%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.05%E -2.62%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:03 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 22:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -12.78%E -8.70%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14% | 0.0% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59% | 2.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.16% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.63% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.59% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.48% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.59% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.18% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.67% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.67% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.65% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68% | 12.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |