Die Schule der Quoten

Tampa Bay Lightning v Pittsburgh Penguins

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-02 23:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

38 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Heim)

Prognose 59.33%1.69faire Quote
EV -2.10%
Vorteil -1.28%
Kelly -3.24%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.65%59.43%59.30%61.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.471.601.611.6568.03%62.32%62.11%60.61%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Pittsburgh Penguins (Auswärts)

Prognose 40.67%2.46faire Quote
EV -0.359%
Vorteil -0.147%
Kelly -0.248%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.90%40.57%40.70%41.35%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.40%42.55%40.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

21 Wettanbieter bieten für diesen Markt eine abweichende Anzahl von Optionen (3-fach gegenüber 2-fach in der Analyse). Aufgrund dieser Abweichung sind die Analyseergebnisse mit Vorsicht zu beurteilen.

Wettanbieterquoten (38 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:04
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.70%E -1.65%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.99%E -0.824%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-02 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:05
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 23:05
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 23:04
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 23:05
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.05%E -2.62%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:03
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Paddy Power1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 23:05
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 23:04
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 23:00
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 23:05
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:05
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:04
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:04
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 23:04
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 23:05
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 23:04
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 23:05
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 23:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-02 23:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 22:58
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -12.78%E -8.70%K -27.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-02 23:01
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (9)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86%2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14%0.0%2026-04-02 22:59
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-04-02 23:05

Andere Wettanbieter — nicht in der Analyse enthalten (21)

Diese Wettanbieter bieten für den Markt eine andere Anzahl von Optionen und werden aus der Analyse ausgeschlossen. Ihre Quoten dienen nur als Referenz — die Abrechnungsregeln ihrer Wetten können abweichen und zusätzliche Unsicherheit verursachen.

WettanbieterOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Aktualisiert
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.16%3.8%2026-04-02 23:05
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.63%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%4.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.5%2026-04-02 23:04
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.48%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.59%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%4.8%2026-04-02 22:59
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.18%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.67%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%4.8%2026-04-02 22:59
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-02 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-02 23:05
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%7.9%2026-04-02 22:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%9.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.67%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%9.9%2026-04-02 23:05
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%12.5%2026-04-02 23:05