La scuola delle quote

Tampa Bay Lightning v Pittsburgh Penguins

Inizio: 2026-04-02 23:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Casa)

Previsione 59.33%1.69quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.65%59.43%59.30%61.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.601.611.6568.03%62.32%62.11%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Penguins (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.67%2.46quota equa
EV -0.359%
Vantaggio -0.147%
Kelly -0.248%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.90%40.57%40.70%41.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.40%42.55%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:04
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.70%E -1.65%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.99%E -0.824%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-02 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:05
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 23:05
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 23:04
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 23:05
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.05%E -2.62%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:03
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Paddy Power1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 23:05
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 23:04
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 23:00
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 23:05
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:05
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:04
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:04
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 23:04
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 23:05
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.997%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 23:04
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 23:05
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 23:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.21%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-02 23:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.359%E -0.147%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 22:58
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -12.78%E -8.70%K -27.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-02 23:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86%2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14%0.0%2026-04-02 22:59
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-04-02 23:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.16%3.8%2026-04-02 23:05
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.63%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%4.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.5%2026-04-02 23:04
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.48%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.59%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%4.8%2026-04-02 22:59
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.18%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.67%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%4.8%2026-04-02 22:59
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-02 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-02 23:05
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%7.9%2026-04-02 22:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%9.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.67%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%9.9%2026-04-02 23:05
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%12.5%2026-04-02 23:05