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Ottawa Senators v Florida Panthers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Prediction 76.38%1.31fair odd
EV -0.705%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.74%76.40%76.52%77.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.251.261.3086.96%79.70%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida Panthers (Visit)
Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.254%
Kelly +0.332%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.32%23.60%23.48%26.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.984.004.2827.78%25.14%25.00%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Senators (Local): 76.38%; Florida Panthers (Visit): 23.62%. For Florida Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV +1.09%E +0.254%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -2.22%E -0.536%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 22:13 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.23%E -1.74%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.29%EV -12.16%E -10.58%K -81.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.705%E -0.542%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.79%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.41% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.59% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.83% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.77% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.55% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.56% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.89% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.68% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.46% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 20:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.26% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.14% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 21:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.58% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49% | 12.1% | 2026-04-09 22:39 |