La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ottawa Senators v Florida Panthers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Predicción 76.38%1.31momio equitativo
EV -0.705%
Ventaja -0.542%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.74%76.40%76.52%77.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.251.261.3086.96%79.70%79.37%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Florida Panthers (Visitante)
Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV +1.09%
Ventaja +0.254%
Kelly +0.332%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.32%23.60%23.48%26.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.984.004.2827.78%25.14%25.00%23.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV +1.09%E +0.254%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -2.22%E -0.536%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:14 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 22:13 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| Everygame | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.23%E -1.74%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| Neds | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.29%EV -12.16%E -10.58%K -81.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| ReBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.705%E -0.542%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.79%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.41% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.59% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.83% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.77% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.55% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.56% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.89% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.68% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.46% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 20:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.26% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.14% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| Betway | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 21:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.58% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49% | 12.1% | 2026-04-09 22:39 |