L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.30
avec la cote maximale 4.28
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV +1.09%E +0.254%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -2.22%E -0.536%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:14 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 22:13 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| Everygame | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.23%E -1.74%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| Neds | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.29%EV -12.16%E -10.58%K -81.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| ReBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.705%E -0.542%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.79%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.41% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.59% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.83% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.77% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.55% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.56% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.89% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.68% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.46% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 20:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.26% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.14% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| Betway | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 21:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.58% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49% | 12.1% | 2026-04-09 22:39 |