La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.28
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV +1.09%E +0.254%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -2.22%E -0.536%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:14 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 22:13 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| Everygame | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.23%E -1.74%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 22:19 |
| Neds | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.29%EV -12.16%E -10.58%K -81.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| ReBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.705%E -0.542%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.79%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.41% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.59% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.83% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.77% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.55% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.56% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.89% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.68% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.46% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 20:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.26% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.14% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| Betway | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 21:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.58% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49% | 12.1% | 2026-04-09 22:39 |