La scuola delle quote

Ottawa Senators v Florida Panthers

Inizio: 2026-04-09 23:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ottawa Senators (Casa)

Previsione 76.38%1.31quota equa
EV -0.705%
Vantaggio -0.542%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.74%76.40%76.52%77.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.251.261.3086.96%79.70%79.37%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Florida Panthers (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.62%4.23quota equa
EV +1.09%
Vantaggio +0.254%
Kelly +0.332%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.32%23.60%23.48%26.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.984.004.2827.78%25.14%25.00%23.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV +1.09%E +0.254%K +0.332%G +0.004%4.7%2026-04-09 22:19
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 22:15
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 22:15
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:00
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -2.22%E -0.536%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 22:55
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 22:19
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 23:05
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:15
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:14
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:20
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:14
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 22:13
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:25
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:25
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:15
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:25
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:04
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:15
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:25
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:45
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:25
Everygame1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:35
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 22:55
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 23:05
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:00
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.23%E -1.74%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:24
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 23:05
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 23:04
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 22:19
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 22:15
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 76.29%EV -12.16%E -10.58%K -81.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-09 22:45
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.705%E -0.542%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.79%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 22:04
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 77.41%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.59%0.1%2026-04-09 22:55
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-04-09 22:54
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-04-09 23:05
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-09 23:05
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-09 23:00
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%3.3%2026-04-09 23:05
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%7.4%2026-04-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%3.5%2026-04-09 22:54
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.83%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%4.3%2026-04-09 22:50
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.77%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%4.6%2026-04-09 22:40
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.55%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.56%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.89%4.7%2026-04-09 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.68%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%5.0%2026-04-09 23:04
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%5.1%2026-04-09 23:00
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%5.1%2026-04-09 22:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%5.1%2026-04-09 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%5.1%2026-04-09 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.46%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%6.7%2026-04-09 20:59
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.26%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%7.0%2026-04-09 22:55
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%7.5%2026-04-09 22:55
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%8.0%2026-04-09 22:49
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%8.0%2026-04-09 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%8.5%2026-04-09 23:02
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%8.5%2026-04-09 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%8.6%2026-04-09 23:05
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%9.3%2026-04-09 21:00
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.58%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%12.1%2026-04-09 22:39